They certainly know more about their own studio's financials than some rando.
Agreed. See: Summertime Saga.
Still missing the forest for the trees. There are other revenue streams than just Patreon. You don't even know if Patreon is their biggest source of revenue, because you can't know. You don't know anything, other than "Patreon numbers were X, now they're less than X". You're acting as if Patreon is some end-all, be-all and that if you're not making Patreon money it automatically means you're broke. Which is insane.
And now you're making the same mistake again. You're assuming user opinions on F95, a PIRACY site (so you know, NOT paying users necessarily), are the end-all, be all for public interest, and if F95 users don't like it, then no one does.
The stats you looked at (Patreon and F95 user sentiment) are plummeting, but assuming those are the ONLY stats that matter (or even that those stats matter above all others) is only that, an assumption.
"evidently failing strategy" again, citation needed. You don't have the full picture, you have an opinion based on stats that matter to you. Presenting those as fact is just not going to work on me.
Breaking news: Bozo remains incapable of seeing a pattern, because it doesn't align with the picture he would prefer to see.
If people on the site where NSFW-games are discussed nearly universally hate a concept, and it comes across on the sole available visible source of income that the creator has, that sure looks like a pattern to me.
Somehow, the combination of general unhappiness with the development, accompanied by falling patreon numbers creates more solid backbone to a theory that shit isn't going that great with the ol' Shawn game, rather than a theory that Andrealphus has a secretly growing and utterly silent cult of followers who spend all their money on the Shawn game, despite never touching the Patreon.
Sure, ultimately a theory nonetheless. Nothing is set in stone. Evolution is a theory, as is general relativity. And you choose to dismiss those theories as well, because they don't allign with what you'd prefer to be true, but that doesn't get rid of all the available evidence.
You have got nothing going for your argument, other than baseless desire, that things are going well. Whereas every data point points in the opposite direction.
Nice to see you slowly backpedaling from "everything is going great" to "sure, your data points indicate otherwise, but you cannot FULLY prove it". I take it as a W, everytime I force you to take a step back
