but don't u need to talk to the jailor to send the girls to the orchard and free Baako, so catch 22?
if you go and talk to the jailor the rest of the quest is not possible to do:
but it is not possible to talk to any of the beast workers before either.
so it seem that it is a new bug, it is not possible to talk to any of these 4 beast workers.
if you can not do that, it not trigger to take the guards out.
Go outside and talk to the Beast workers until you find 4 who are willing to escape.
1. Fox standing by the fire next to the cottages (during the day)
2. Cow standing by the same fire (during the night)
3. Grey Wolf standing by the well next to the cottages (during the afternoon)
4. Blue wolf standing by the well to the right of the Grape Vines (during the afternoon)
After finding the 4 escapees, come back on Tuesday night to carry out your plan. Remember the Orchard gates are closed at night, so you have to either use the Milestone inside the perimeter or come back on Tuesday during the daytime and spend some time chopping wood by the windmill. Approach the caravans during night until Miles mentions that the convoy is here. Head to the guard peeing by the grape vines and take him out. Change into his outfit and talk to the guards. First, send off the one on the top right of the Caravans and then talk to the one directly below him. You have to be facing North so when you talk to the guard, he looks away from the Brewery i.e. looks South. Then send off the Bottom left guard and talk to the one directly above him. This time you should be facing right so the guard looks left. Now you can head to the dungeon in the Capital and talk to the Jailor. Ask him to send the beasts to the Orchard. He will ask you what to do with Baako, here you have the opportunity to earn a GOOD or EVIL point. You can rescue Baako as well or have her beheaded and earn a tigress head for your gallery wall.