Oh, I absolutely agree that there's a very good chance that he still loves Lena. Maybe it's real love, maybe he's jealous or just being possessive, maybe it's just the kind of change of heart that often happens after a relationship ends, where part of you miss it and you end up completely overestimating how good it was. And independently of whether he loves her or not, I'm quite sure that Axel
believes the feelings he's experiencing are love.
I'm also open to the idea that Axel isn't actually scheming – that he's just an unknowing piece in Seymour's plan. But I also think he's the kind of guy that may very well do shitty things to get Lena back, and still justify it to himself. And while I agree that some reaction should be expected when he found out about Lena and Ian, his reaction seemed particularly strong, and Ivy's comments also gave the impression that he often acts that way.
I assume it's kept intentionally vague until that first substantial progression in Lena's route with Axel, so that it could fit in with several scenarios: My guess would be one where they get back together, one where they begin a purely sexual relationship, one where Lena rejects him and he truly becomes the angry, possessive ex-boyfriend, and maybe also one where he disappears from the story if Lena rejects him at every oportunity from the beginning.
Didn't Axel actually go to lunch with her parents? Maybe I'm mis-remembering it, but I'm pretty sure it wasn't just talking to Lena's mother. To me that sounds like Axel still has some decent connection with Lena's parents, though his exact motivations are still unclear. In relation to that, we also still don't know the full story about just what Axel and Lena's relationship was like, but we'll probably find out in chapter 9.
If that's the way you remember it, you are probably right – I couldn't remember any of the specifics besides that there had been some communication between them and that Lena got angry at her mother because of it. A lunch definitely makes it more plausible that he'll show up in relation to the whole hospital trip.
I am a bit baffeled why a lot of people are expecting a sex scene while Lena is visiting her parents. She has to take care for her father, as her mother did before, and she has to worry for her mother. Also, no character from the game is there. So you would have to concoct an excuse for someone to show up there just so Lena can ignore her parents and have sex.
Seems like a lot of drama to get a scene you could have just as well without.
Ok, I admid I kinda can see the Axel scenario. He might have softened up Lena enough so if she is distraught enough of whatever happened with her mother she might just fall into his strong hands when he shows up at the right time with the promise to support her.
I completely agree that it's a weird scenario for a sex scene to take place. And of course it's a very likely possibility that it won't. But what I do feel certain about, is that Eva wouldn't write that part of the story if it wasn't important to the progression of the storyline of at least one of her potential sexual partners. Obviously not every scene in the game ends with someone having sex, but there's always some kind of progression being made with one of the other characters.
Usually it's easy to make qualified guesses as to what those upcoming events will involve. Wade's birthday party? A Cindy x Ian scene. A sex scene happening in Louise's room? Lena sneaking in on Jeremy. Ian going with Holly to the book fair? Obviously the first sex scene between them. But this time that's more difficult, since Lena's going out of town to a place where none of the others have any obvious reasons to be, and one would either way expect Lena to be preoccupied with spending time with her mom.
Considering the lack of other alternatives, I personally assume that it would then involve the person who's closest to being likely to visit Lena's sick mom, or at least being somewhere nearby (Axel), and/or a person who turns out to be involved in the story in way we haven't learned about yet (usually Seymour).