destroyerofassholes

Well-Known Member
Oct 23, 2019
1,564
4,931
Amazing, all the caps went up again. Roughly 7.8% increase in caps while progress is less than 2%. We are actually going backwards people.
I just cannot see this in good faith anymore. If you keep discovering more work to do at the nth percentile that's a failure of planning, but I refuse to believe that's what's actually going on.
 

Knight

Active Member
Jul 7, 2017
532
1,276
abandoned and makes 7k a month what the fuck am i doing wrong in life
This is why I have no sympathy for artists who bitch about AI, if you can make 7k+ a month doing nothing you deserve a little machine competition.

I propose this idea.. don't post anything else on this thread.. let's abandon them like they did with us fans.. thanks, nice game but now CIAOO
What difference would that make? As long as a shekels flow what people say doesn't affect them.
Patreon kicking them would do more to get them going since they would have to move over to another platform and build their audience again.
 
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Kisama33

Member
May 13, 2018
441
541
Amazing, all the caps went up again. Roughly 7.8% increase in caps while progress is less than 2%. We are actually going backwards people.
I thought that at this point you already understood that taking in account things like % will not reflect reality, % is bullshit, they could choose to increase the number of "tasks" by 100 while only finishing 80 which technically means that they increased the development time in comparison to the previous report and yet the % would increase.
So forget about that, the only number important in the number of "tasks" to be completed and right now that has been reduced by 2 in relation to the previous report so you they moved forward, you can only claim the opposite if that number increases.
 
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Mordikay

Member
Sep 23, 2022
154
545
I thought that at this point you already understood that taking in account things like % will not reflect reality, % is bullshit, they could choose to increase the number of "tasks" by 100 while only finishing 80 which technically means that they increased the development time in comparison to the previous report and yet the % would increase.
So forget about that, the only number important in the number of "tasks" to be completed and right now that has been reduced by 2 in relation to the previous report so you they moved forward, you can only claim the opposite if that number increases.
That's not how math works. If you make progress but literally create 400% more problems/work. Then it's not progressing.
 

Kisama33

Member
May 13, 2018
441
541
That's not how math works. If you make progress but literally create 400% more problems/work. Then it's not progressing.
It is, if the created "400% more problems\work" are already completed and the numbers of "problems\work" you have remaining are less than what you had at the beginning, it doesn't matter if you completed 4x times already the number of "problems\work" you planned, if you have less to do now than you had when you started then you made progress.
 

Mordikay

Member
Sep 23, 2022
154
545
It is, if the created "400% more problems\work" are already completed and the numbers of "problems\work" you have remaining are less than what you had at the beginning, it doesn't matter if you completed 4x times already the number of "problems\work" you planned, if you have less to do now than you had when you started then you made progress.
Yeah but that's exactly it. It isn't and there's NOT less work than when they started but 3-4x more. Broad look they make less than 2%(from previous numbers) progress and create 8% more problems/work so it is literally going backwards.
 

Finuee

Newbie
Sep 14, 2022
84
143
Thought some of you might enjoy a graph showing the evolution of progress over time. For each of the three main sections there's a column for tasks that are done and a column for total tasks, both as reported. The third column for each section is just a substraction, showing how many tasks are left to do for that section. Dates are in dd/mm/yyyy format, not the US mm/dd/yyyy format. The Y scale (for the rows) is not linear. Meaning there's a row almost for each day for the last few week, but the farther back we go (the further up the table), the more "gaps" there are in the date (because I couldn't be arsed to look for more of them, mainly).

WaL-evolution-2024-07-15.png

If their work keeps this pace, the projection would be four months until completion.
 

Mordikay

Member
Sep 23, 2022
154
545
Thought some of you might enjoy a graph showing the evolution of progress over time. For each of the three main sections there's a column for tasks that are done and a column for total tasks, both as reported. The third column for each section is just a substraction, showing how many tasks are left to do for that section. Dates are in dd/mm/yyyy format, not the US mm/dd/yyyy format. The Y scale (for the rows) is not linear. Meaning there's a row almost for each day for the last few week, but the farther back we go (the further up the table), the more "gaps" there are in the date (because I couldn't be arsed to look for more of them, mainly).

View attachment 3833535

If their work keeps this pace, the projection would be four months until completion.
Yeah exact this isn't an accurate portayal of it all (like debug and all the other categories they keep adding numbers to) and they literally keep raising the caps in each category so by the way it's been going the past 6 months the deadline has been pushed another 8 or so from whatever the original might have been.

I don't undertstand what it is people are not getting. If you add more numbers than you get done you are moving backwards. It's not hard math.
 

Finuee

Newbie
Sep 14, 2022
84
143
Yeah exact this isn't an accurate portayal of it all (like debug and all the other categories they keep adding numbers to) and they literally keep raising the caps in each category so by the way it's been going the past 6 months the deadline has been pushed another 8 or so from whatever the original might have been.

I don't undertstand what it is people are not getting. If you add more numbers than you get done you are moving backwards. It's not hard math.
Not really moving backwards since the polish phase really started in mid March, but the pace of progress has indeed been steadily going down.
 

fusibile87

Newbie
Jun 28, 2020
74
468
If their work keeps this pace, the projection would be four months until completion.
They are gonna slow down. They only really started worked on this around march/april. Take in account the 6-8 months they used to make for the previous update and it's gonna be ready in october/november, but probably december.
 
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Finuee

Newbie
Sep 14, 2022
84
143
Probably. But I wasn't meaning to neither attack nor defend them, just stating facts as they are. So I didn't want to presume anything based on external information, just extrapolate from the data present in the set.

Here's the same info, with an added column for a statistically calculated rate of tasks per day, which should show the trend. Do not put a lot of faith in what that column says, as it's derived statistically. It's not hard facts. But as you can see, the rate of decrease is slowing down, meaning they seem to be reaching a stable rate of progress.

Also, I didn't plot it before May as it doesn't make any sense since that's the oldest reliable data that I have for actual polish progress.

WaL-evolution-2-2024-07-15.png

Edited to add that "Tasks per day" does not mean how many tasks they are doing per day, but rather how many less tasks are left to be done. If they do 3 tasks and add 2, this is 1 task done as far as that statistic is concerned.
 
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Knight

Active Member
Jul 7, 2017
532
1,276
It is, if the created "400% more problems\work" are already completed and the numbers of "problems\work" you have remaining are less than what you had at the beginning, it doesn't matter if you completed 4x times already the number of "problems\work" you planned, if you have less to do now than you had when you started then you made progress.
Don't take it as an insult but this is just re-arranging deck chairs on the Titanic. The fact of the matter is that the numbers might as well be made up (and probably are) given that we have no tangible proof that any progress has been made.

Also, to the people making the excel docs and animations of the fake progress. I like the gumption but you guys are putting more work in to this than the dev is in to the game. If you are enjoying yourself then have fun but don't get worked up, it's not worth your time.
 
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