so this is my current prediction. it ofc does not take into account new options or shifts in votes after a option wins but I've found it to be mostly accurate. the bonus poll is based on the month of the poll (the release comes out the following month).
anyways, up to 5.6 there should not be any major upset.
anyways, as far as "cheating" goes...I use the cheat menu liberally. it was recently updated to include new items like animal fat and leather straps (which is what I would save edit for because grinding for it was a pain in the ass). I think the hostility towards save editing is mostly because if done wrong, this thread could get spammed with requests for help. I've save edited but I heeded the warning to not mess with character variables like progress, affection and corruption.
Samzuki Hydaiko the cheat menu has rabbit fur. you can use that. personally not a fan of the "grind" though finding rabbits is easy enough imo. animal fat and leather straps was a lot annoying. grinding is rng based. I prefer figuring out how to progress a quest or deal with a puzzle.