I'll be optimistic again (I don't learn lessons
nor in a hard way nor on practice).
EP11 - September '24 release
If it was me 9 months ago I would say July, but no, DPC killed the most dare optimist in me.
Little explanation:
1. DPC went for a 2 weeks vacation this year.
2. DPC did a full upgrade of his rendering rigs AND added some new ones, all this almost took time, because he did that on himself. Buying, rebuilding old PCs / building new PCs, installing OS, testing them, copying all settings, setting up software, testing again, etc tooks a lot of time even if you are expirienced. Let's guess it was around and minimum 2 weeks too, in overall.
3. He still worked on new mini-games for a whole remaining S3 EPs and I bet most of them will remain in S4 as well. He didn't do a lot of mentioned above for EP9 and during EP9 dev cycle, except the party planner. Let's guess that it also took from 2 to 4 weeks of development.
If EP10 release date will be set at Dec, 1 then it means that current 10th Episode was in development for 11 months (16-Dec-23 was the EP9 release and we subtracting the 2 weeks vacation time from dev cycle).
Now I don't really believe that the disappeared need to develop new mini-games, as well as increased hardware performance can help a lot. Because the first is leveled by the ever-increasing complexity of coding and tracking all branches of the story, and the second, as it turned out, is leveled by 60 fps animations. I have no doubt that he will do 90% of the animations at 60 fps in all the following episodes, with the possible exception for sfw animations. In general, all lewd scenes at least. But still, the lack of the need to mess with mini-games and the well-established rendering capacities and capabilities and the lack of the need to do anything with hardware are encouraging and inspires some optimism. In fact, he can now really fully concentrate on creating a new episode. Therefore, all other things being equal, and if he does not decide to make 6500-7000 renderings and 400 animations for EP 11, then 9 months sounds dope and logical.
Be a realist, hope as optimist, prepare for worst as pessimist