Editing since it seems that context is lost. I'll delete irrelevant data. Treat this is a sort-of FAQ regarding patron count:
Each patreon experiences a decrease at the beginning of the month
It's the 14th. Not the beginning of the month.
See this link:
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What's more, February, March and April are usually the largest decreases in revenues.
Consult graphtreon for other creators.
Gumdrop has already experienced a loss of patrons since August 2018 until April 2019 when there was a huge rebound. Apparently it made Gumdrop think that he can get away with his shit (or Patreon is an outlet for his money laundering, nobody can tell).
Although the maximum for most creators is reached by 25th, there's also a visible rebound around the 6th-7th after payments are reprocessed manually by returning patrons. It did not happen this month. And I'd hardly expect it to happen because Gumdrop hasn't made a single post this month. No point in joining if there's nothing new to read or see.
You can observe similar thing for Mr Dots (the creator of Melody). Anyway, I am pretty sure that he will earn over 8,000 in July. Not that I think it is right or wrong.
Mr Dots is shedding patrons since last year. More to do with him having finished the last game and not engaging well with his new project. However, Mr Dots did finish his project, not abandoned it without doing roughly sweet fuck all.
I think the only creator who has successfully managed a transition to a new game is Palmer, and one where you will see an unbelievably huge drop is Dark Cookie as soon as Summertime Saga is completed.