I never said Ian's gonna go unscathed. You are completely wrong about Axel winning the fight though. He's a 185cm dude while Ian is 175cm. Height doesn't mean shit when the guy is on the floor. You can argue that Axel is taller and has more range and reach, a kickboxer can overcome this with angles, leg kicks, and clinch work.
Technique trumps strength. In both BJJ and striking arts like kickboxing- leverage, timing, and precision matter far more than brute strength.
Fights are unpredictable. Environment, adrenaline, and mental toughness play huge roles. A smaller, more experienced fighter often keeps calm and controls the pace. We have seen Axel getting emotional pretty easily when he's about to start a fight.