derpmcderp
Member
- May 30, 2020
- 189
- 992
IMO, he is benefiting from the work he's already done giving the illusion of forward momentum. If you are someone who never saw this game before, or are checking it out for the very first time, you're going on a superpowered honeymoon phase of what we all went through enjoying this game in its time. And with as much content as is there up to this point, in comparison to new games that have like an hour of content or less, it seems like even if he's not going super fast, "it's probably fine, right?" As long as new people continually discover the game, he doesn't really have a problem he actually has to address, because he'll just continually get the benefit of the doubt from the new people coming in. It took me a year to get fed up with him - and I expect new people will be similar.Not upset enough.
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Besides losing like ~3% of his Patrons per month (this shows them going down from 3300 to 3000 since the beginning of November), this doesn't look like people are leaving in great numbers. And every excuse is met with a surge of new patrons for some reason.
That being said, on a long enough timeline, I think he's going to start having real problems. Negative sentiment takes time to build like positive momentum does, but once you have enough of it, he's going to have a ton of problems and they're going to pick up in speed as they go. If he pisses off enough people, they will start doing things like mass chargebacks and reporting and he's gonna have a much, much worse time. One motivated asshole is harder to deal with than 1000 fans, especially if it's now more like 100 fans because 900 of them gave up. But I honestly don't think we'll see that for months. He'll probably keep cruising like this for I'm guessing most of this year at the least.
We'll all know when it turns, though. If he ever actually starts to lose what he has in a significant way, the manipulation will get next level as desperation increases, AND it will have massively diminishing returns because he's been coasting on excuses for years now. And I think these two things will feed into each other in a major way. Given what he has lied about up to this point, I assume no lies are off the table - it will be his wife dying, or his child being incurably sick, or something that has to stand out enough from the previous lies he's told to shock people into not quitting on him.
Hopefully none of this happens and he just un-heads his ass, but if I thought that was gonna happen, I'd still be a patron.