Whereas I find being pessimistic far more pragmatic, particularly when it comes to L&P. Take the last three updates for example. The evidence we had was that the Ellie/Julia event was just going to be the two sunbathing. Maybe Sophia spied on them. What we got was one of the hottest scenes in the game so far. And Sophia's first dick besides Liam (in the Alyssa event).
Evidence for the v.115 update for something hot was Ellie waiting to join Sophia in the shower. Nudity was assured, but there was only indications it was just going to be a shower. What we got instead was a whole bunch of Ellie's backstory, and her jilling herself off. And Sophia accepting a kiss from Ellie without hesitation. And in the prison event, even if just a fantasy sequence, the first scene of Sophia having sex with someone besides Liam.
Evidence for v.130 of something hot was nil, and at least for me, I was expecting 5 minutes of content. Turns out I got 10.
This update, the closest I'm expecting to hot content is Nat admitting she has the hots for Sophia and actively flirting with/teasing her. Maybe Cathy and Andy admitting they want to sleep with Sophia too.
Might my predictions be wrong? Sure, I'm only going by the evidence L&P gives us. Might the update be hotter that I'm predicting? Wouldn't be the first time, but I count that as a pleasant surprise, so a win. And if my predictions are also right, that's also a win. Either way, I'm not disappointed, and people being disappointed seems to happen a lot right after an update is released. I learnt that lesson after Emma joined the Aiden route.