At current speed, it pains me to say but it seems more likely that ep 11 won't come out in 2024.
I hope some one can put some sense in DPC's head, 8-10 months dev time is acceptable but 12+ months isn't.
If Ep. 11 takes 12 months, it will be released in ~December 2024 though, so would that be 'acceptable' because it's still in 2024 judging by your own words? I wouldn't say so personally, but I wouldn't rule out a release in 2024, I am more than sure DPC isn't going to miss a release in a calendar year yet, especially now that he'll start a dev cycle with multiple 4090s which he didn't have for Ep. 10
Unfortunally yes, but there is still a very small chance of a 24/11 release, but I wouldnt hold my breath.
Yeah, Nov 24th is quite unrealistic even with DPC consistently overestimating the length of beta-testing which doesn't take 2 full weeks, December 1st would fit in nicely when he will start beta-testing next week after he finishes the animations this week-start of next week
It will depend on the number of 60fps animations, if DPC increased the % of them, we can forget about a 2024 release for episode 11.
You're right on the money about the number of animations and frankly, this applies to the amount of content in general (incl. static renders even though those are faster to render), if it's a marginal increase like going from 5.7k to ~6k renders, it shouldn't be too big of a problem in terms of time because of 4090s, but yeah, the ratio of 60FPS to 30FPS animations will be crucial for determining the dev time
If the amount remains the same, it probably can be released in december 2024. Maybe november, since this year he didnt had the 4090's for the whole development time.
However, I disagree with this point of yours
If everything stays exactly the same in terms of content (which is unlikely, but we're talking purely theoretically), the dev time would definitely decrease. We're getting a release around early December now in circumstances when DPC didn't have a single 4090 until April, and then he gradually bought more of them during the dev cycle with his last final (for now) upgrade just some weeks ago at the end of September. Episode 11 would definitely not take until December or probably November if DPC were to keep the episode size the same. It just won't happen that way in reality, too much uncertainty about the scale of Ep. 11, so we can't really make predictions based solely on his significant speed gain from those 4090s, but it is there nonetheless
Without the 4090s, we'll likely not get an episode this year, but on the other hand, DPC probably wouldn't have started introducing 60FPS animations if it weren't for those powerful 4090s, so yeah, the technological progress is to blame
If I were you, I would be more worried about EP. 12 and not Ep. 11, because those big boy 5090s are coming in 2025 and you know DPC would love to utilize them to the max when he gets his hands on those
