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I can assume that this drop in the number of patrons is still a fairly typical monthly fluctuation inherent in many game projects. Pay attention to the many other adult games distributed through patreon - most of them have exactly the same ragged graphs with ups and downs over a long period of time. These "ragged charts" with drops (after the release of the next update) and subsequent smooth ups of the patron base by the date of the next update of the conditional game, as I understand it, is "the norm" and akin to the ebb and flow of the sea, which humanity is powerless to prevent.
Another thing is that in the case of the latest version of Ep2.2 v 3, the drop in the level of patrons did not occur immediately after the release of the update, but after about 21 days from the date of release of 2.2 v3. Well, let's figure it out.
1. Some of the patrons have expired a month of subscription and they decided not to renew the payment for the next one and they did not want the funds to be automatically debited from their card. (recurring)
After all, when Patreon writes off their funds for the next month, this does not mean at all that in the same month they will be able to play the next FB update. Of course, I would prefer people to be more conscientious and support the game on an ongoing basis. But I do not want to consider the moral and ethical side here and criticize or condemn someone. Who am I to do this, especially since I am not even a patron of FB.
On the other hand, we can see on the charts that the growth of FB patrons over the past year is more than 40%, which is not so bad.
2. Why did this fall not happen earlier, as it happened, for example, after the release of update 2.2 v3, whose release took place on
January 19, and the fall point was designated on
January 31?
Answer: because this time the 1080p version was not shared for everyone after a short time. As you remember, Ragnaroekr (from the DM`s team) previously wrote here that the later 1080p gets into the public domain, the later there is a sharp decline in patrons. This time the "condition" was met (partially) and therefore the fall in the level of patrons happened later than after the release of Ep 2.2. v 2.
The release of EP2.2 v3 took place on March 9, almost a month has passed (today is April 3), and the probable release date of version 4 has not been indicated in any way by DM. I am not a patron, perhaps there is some detailed information in DM's Discord channel or in his posts on Patreon, but what is available to me as a guest (on Patreon) suggests that such information is still not available.
As you may have noticed,
the increase in the number of patrons occurs closer to the release date of the FB update (this is true for other adult games as well), but I'm afraid these ebbs and flows are beyond our control without even deeper analysis. Remember the sacramental "We need To Go Deeper?" This is the very case.
In any case, either the DM himself, who has more statistics than we do, or people from his team can know the exact information, and this question is probably worth asking them ..