- Jan 21, 2022
 
- 11,660
 
- 22,786
 
- 913
 
This is typical of all creators, but more noticeable in the trends after they hit a certain level of support because of the sheer numbers of subscribers. It has nothing to do with people abandoning and returning or large numbers of new subscribers.The interesting part regards his patreons is the total count. It usually drops to 50k and after 1-2 week/s, so I noticed 2 times, gets 6-7k back. No idea how considering he doesn't release a single valuable thing, but if it keeps like that, then nothing will change as it's the perfect formula with little or 0 effort. I suppose people supporting him since 2016-2017 are scared of him deciding to abandon the project if the money drops under a certain level.
It's people who either don't have enough credit available on their credit cards or don't have enough funds on their debit card or other similar problem that cause a "soft-decline":
“Patreon retries soft-decline (transactions that don’t go through because of a temporary issue, like insufficient funds) several times during the month. So if a payment declines on the 1st, we have more opportunities to get those funds back.” — Maritza Dominguez, Patreon’s Payment & Risk Operations Manager.
That's why you see those dips that rebuild - it's successful transactions on retries after the first soft-decline.
There will be a HUGE uptick in subscribers the month(s) after the tech update. Also, the tech update won't speed things up. People should expect the updates to be similar as before - about every 3-4 months on average. Some quicker, some longer. The "speed up" may only be internally while they code/implement/etc - but don't expect the public to see any change.The turning point will be the release of this famous tech update and if it'll really speed up things after that(I doubt it).