Firstly I agree it's an interesting discussion. To clarify I'm not being petty just having a debate

Just to clarify that this is NOT drama lol .. I don't do drama.
That's why I felt the need to point this out at the end of my last post... this is not for argueing who is right but rather to throw around ideas hopeing that Chyos on his occassional visits takes some ideas, in the past we even managed to give some inspiration by some of these back and forth.
I do see your point .. for now. However I'm not so sure where the kings favor would actually fall if he became aware, through popular protest of what Giron is actually doing. See .. yes .. Giron is providing supplies and men to the frontline. But he's also lining his own pockets .. hard. This is theoretical but his agreement with your mercenary company and Johns attitude suggest to me that Giron is charging more tax than the king actually demands. And/or overcharging the king for their services. Girons biggest weakness is his greed. And you can just see it making stupid decisions for him. And in the cold light of day the king might well realise that the one who can be the greatest help to him is the one that actually does his job.
It seems to me that this is the norm in the Kingdom so I can't imagine the King to actually do anything about it, as far as we know taxes have been crippling for any city in the valve, if the intro wasn't mentioning it Ophelia was.
I mean even travel restrictions like those imposed in Kirlic are a problem, yet the King allows it, afterall it gives people less opportunities to rebell, and the common people would direct their anger to their local leader rather than the King.
Not only that but you shouldn't underestimate the Orcs and Half Orcs. Right now they are a seed but if a permanent peace can be achieved then the MC can already be chieftain of Rumah. A respected one at that. Not only that but Tia is the perfect mediator between worlds.
Nice idea but the Problem is the common believe, both Ibah and Nyra made it clear that the people of Rumah have a common dislike to the white mans society since they treated them like leper.
And Tia is no exception, she also dislikes the majority of the people of Arenfield, it took her some time and corruption to accept Lyvia as MCs side wife and battle companion... Also Lyvia still refuses to visit Rumah with the two.
maybe a common base can be found in the future (like 2 or more generations), but I think it's more likely that this connection is formed with Darktholm, since they also fight against the Orcs.
My assumption is that they will take over the Deep forrest and Callan's Rest in order to keep the Orcs out, staying isolated for the most part.
And don't forget the town borders a forest. Which is the worst place for massed combat and 1000% the worst place to face a local force that knows the terrain. Also Giron paying mine workers is also a non issue. If Giron goes you will be paying them not him .. and far less. And I don't think they give a fuck who's paying as long as they get paid XD
That would demand that MC evacuates all villagers into the Forest maybe even the camp while the village gets potentially burned to the ground.
The Kings forces would approach from the West or the South and so far there is nothing MC can use to fight a Guerillia battle.
That aside the Kings spy master is well versed in the Forrest as he has been at Madra Khaz several times, sure with Imawyns ward the Camp will be safe but it's by far capable of keeping everyone from Arenfield there. Accomodations aside there is no food production and no place to actually start anything, the cave is not enough to work as washing place AND water source either (atleast for everyone in Arenfield).
If MC abondened Arenfield there is a fair chance as you mentioned, but that's not an Option for him.
Also Giron paying mine workers is also a non issue. If Giron goes you will be paying them not him .. and far less. And I don't think they give a fuck who's paying as long as they get paid XD
It doesn't matter WHO pays... it's a fact that you conquered the mines and Giron reopened it... there is a reputation boost for him in this as he proofs that he gets stuff done... even though he just capitalizes MCs achievements by displaying it favorable to him.
I guess my point is the keys to power that the MC doesn't control he is an position to remove if necessary and as Frank Herbert so expertly pointed out. He who can destroy a thing controls a thing. Money, Influence .. These become irrelevant in that scenario. If MC gains the true abiltiy to cut the kings supply lines in war .. even temporarily then he has leverage. As you have pointed out the town is close to the front lines. If the supply lines get cut how long before ardenfield falls unter the userpers territory? And how would the usurper reward his benefactor? Now there's no guarantee that guy is any better really. But supplies are already strained to the point of breaking the town. Even a temporary disruption would force the king to fall back. And lose him the Iron mine and the Coldstones food.
My point is the King is close enough to prevent a meaningfull dirsuption... I mean think about it Hakima already disrupted it when he placed Anya in Arenfield, build a hideout under her house and used her and MC to build another one in the cleared up Bandit Outpost.
He even ambushed Henry when he came with a secret message for Giron. also we never see any convoys passing through Arenfield... it's more likely that the town is a convenient place to gather his troops and move in a bulk or let them rest from their service at the frontline, the goods are moved close to Arenfield but not through Arenfield apparently.
Also if the trade route to Kirlic had such an important role it wouldn't have been in brigands hands for so long.
Also the Iron from the mine is of no concern to the King, for John it's a live line, but the Kingdom has other mines... I mean otherwise the King would have sent his army to retake it rather than Giron some of his guards (which got rooted and caused Lyvia haveing a shortage of men to begin with).
Everyhing I read leads me to believe that though the king is close to victory. It's a phyrric one and the campaign rests on a knifes edge. So .. Even if the MC is not in a positon to win with brute force he doesn't necessarily need that. He could melt into the woods with his supporters which include the towns smith, and pepper the town with arrows and raid it's supplies with relative impunity. The terrain around Aedenfeld is a commited and united defenders wet dream. The fact that the orcs and bandits are still even a threat that close to town proves that. And if what I suspect is true and the MC is a royal bastard then he could actually end up taking control of the userpers forces if he turns out to be as big of an ass as Giron and the current king. It's not utterly outside the realm of possibility to see him making a rightful claim to the throne.
The King is desperate enough to form an alliance with Orcs in order to NOT loose, nothing indicates he has won anything.
He suffered several setbacks by Hakimas sabotage, the Ravens attacks on Caravans and Ophelias conspiricy killing on of his commanders lately.
Sure he claims otherwise to assure his peoples but MC points out at several occassions that this is just bullshit.
And if what I suspect is true and the MC is a royal bastard then he could actually end up taking control of the userpers forces if he turns out to be as big of an ass as Giron and the current king. It's not utterly outside the realm of possibility to see him making a rightful claim to the throne.
I think it's more likely that he is either the son of a fallen noble or merchant... nothing that would benefit him like this, though a rebellion or declaration of indipendency might be an Option once the war actually ends, as the land will have wasted all of it's resources and soldiers in this conflict, but while it rages Arenfield is in a far to disadvantaged position
Scanario 1 : The King refuses, Aedenfield that is loyal to the mc retreats to the woods and cuts the supply lines. The Usurper pushes forwards and takes Aedenfield. Rewards MC for their work. Or doesn't but now you have less enemies to deal with.
This depends on wether you sided with Hakima or not I think, if you didn't you'd be a rebell for both Kings, that needs to be dealt with in order to secure the supply lines.
Scanario 2 : The King accepts, Giron is out on his ass and the MC can then turn his attention to rooting out the cult. He will have to watch out for assassination after the war .. If the king has a brain. But the MC is pretty good at that game himself. I'm confident he can play the shadow game as well as anything the king has up his sleeve.
Only if he is aware of the Kings movement.. the MC is only so good at this game because it's limited to Arenfield.
like I mentioned before many of teh favorable situation the MC found for himself against Giron are based on the fact, that he was able to overheart his plans in hiding, he can't do that with the King unless he moves to Parakis and builds an equal system of hidden passages and spying locations to get the knowledge.. also Giron lacks a Spymaster... the King does not.
For the orcs and half orcs though I am also accounting for future possible developments. The orcs aren't just useful allies, They are an anonymous force. Hell the Coldstones already used them as such without even TALKING to them.
They did though... I suspect they used that spymaster to negiotiate and manipulate them.
Gurthak had someone leading them to the bridge at that time and day.
If the MC were to take full control of the orcs he could have them attack his enemies interests with impunity for a good long while before the 'alliance' is discovered.
I suspect he'll be forced to either kill every Orc or transform them like he did with the Chieftains daugther.
And the last part will make them part of the Half Orcs, which would allow Rumah to take controll of Madra Khaz and Callan's rest without straining their own presence and forces in the area... even if they manage to free more of their people such a task would likely over extend them without backup.
No matter what they wouldn't be the force you make them seem to be, nor improve their motivation to get dragged into this conflict with the Kings.
And frankly I do not agree that the half orcs at least would stay out of a conflict that threatens their chieftain and savior. They know that the MC is their greatest hope of establishing a permanent home nad normalizing relations with humans.
While I'll agree about them offering MC shelter and exile this doesn't make them motivated to shed blood in another conflict even if they just ended the one they kept going for decades. also what other Half Orcs?
The intro said that the Orcs started to come back near Arenfield and their first victims where Callan's rest and Darktholme... afterwards they settled down before recently start to expand their interest towards Arenfield.
The Dark Elves and Goblins had come closer to the town than the Orcs.
How long do you think any declaration of 'nuetrality' would really just under that threat? Especially since you already weakened the full blooded orcs which are the part of the equation most likely to oppose you out of bloody mindedness.
He would try and fail, the same way his father did, he obviously underestimates the Orcs both in intellect and fighting force.
He believes he can make the Orcs loose their entire Army in his war and than just take out the weakest ones that stayed behind... With what we have seen in Madra Khaz and Callan's rest this scenario is very unlikely, the Chieftain would likely send his youngest and impatient fighters that he has trouble to controll himself and letr them get dealt with in this war, keeping his Elites at home to react to such development.
The Full Blood Orcs are more of a problem, Too much Isha in them. As Rumah's strength grows they could be conquered. But honestly looking at the chieftess I don't think they're irredeemable. Umah is more of an eh issue as without the potion she'd be well .. too orky. And how much the potion made her hate her body didn't sit right with me. But her mother's attitude suggests this is ultimately a cultural issue .. not a biological one. And you can't possibly tell me that in this world .. There are no women WHATSOEVER that have the desire to be roughly bred by an orc XD Hell my bisexual ass has that desire .. So I'm pretty sure a system could be arranged where human women could sell their 'womb' to an orc chieftain for tribute.
By culture this seems impossible, in Rumah we learned that such arrangement often lead to the death of the women as she was roughly fucked to death by the Orcs, if they learned moderations and restraints it might be possible, but the way their current society operates they'd think that any women dying from breading was meant to die anyway.
The people of Rumah refuse these tributes as we saw with Raisha... she'd sacrifice herself for her people but she disliked the idea as much as any other... and just look at Katharina, she pretty much became an outcast after being raped by an Orc... so maybe you'll be able to find a lunatic whishing to be ravished, but it's very likely she won't live for long.
Since the main reason they became such a rapey and raidey culture is to prevent having sons with the right to challenge them.
They raided themselfes before some of them decided to become weaker in order to build peacefull lives, afterwards the Orcs just had an much easier target, also they had betrayed Gromthul and Orcs got rallied by his Champions to deal with those traitors.
Fucking their women to death was just the fun part of this.
If this problem is not solved the orcs are a race that will disappear on their own in time. A male/female dynamic like that only really works if they breed like hell and most of the males kill each other for the privilage. The male orcs little 'hack' of capturing humans is ironically dooming their race to slowly deplete and become half orcs. Who don't seem to have this problem with female births.
The Problem is that beyond the mountain range there is a wild land were potentially several thousand Orcs live, so even if on our side of the mountain there seem far less they also replenish any killed Orc in around 3 days without feeling pressured, otherwise they'd likely send a stronger force from beyond the mountain to deal with Rumah.
I still think the only real Option with the Orcs is a peace on the NTR route and turning them like that Orc girl (in the Vanilla route) in order to have a combined fighting force and several strongholds to hold off the Orcs, the next generation of Half Orcs will have a higher output of females as human evolution had proofen so the new settlements had potential of growth.
Also if Giron has any thoughts that he's managed to control the MC with pussy then his intelligence network isn't just bad it's a non factor. And one should never underestimate a charismatic beloved figure. I doubt Julia's loyalty to her father and docility will persist if she gets a good look outside her gilded cage. And then she becomes a double agent.
Indeed but Giron is likely convinced that the leash he raised his children with are strong enough to wistand any outer influence... I mean he likely compares it with how Dave grew up... though let's be honest Dave is a weakling that only seeks his fathers approval.... the day Giron dies he'll likely loose all drive and become a depressed asshole rather than a simple asshole.
For the kings soldiers sure poison is the harsh way. But anaesthetic and arrest is just as viable if the MC doesn't want to kill them. I was more demonstrating their vulnerabiltiy than suggesting that. These people are in the town. But they aren't guarding it. They're drinking the night away and harassing waitresses. This is not a force that is ready to fight.
That still puts up the Problem of where to arrest them and how to deal with the Kings immediate retalliation.
Yeah, but they aren't residents of Arenfield.
Isn't their stay temporary ?
That is what was planned, but after the Queens learns about the fate of her daugther she seeks MCs help and tries to spperate herself from her husband causing her to prolong her stay in Arenfield from that point on.
She was expected to return to Parakis after she handed over her daugther so she could be married to the Orc chief and seal the alliance.