When is Episode 12 coming out?
First, we have to project the # of screens.
To do that, we project new timelines for episode 12, by analyzing trends:
| # | Renders | Working days | Renders/day |
| EP 8 | 4158 | 150.71 | 27.59 |
| EP 9 | 5037 | 205 | 24.57 |
| EP 10 | 5868 | 255 | 23.01 |
| EP 11 | 7113 | 325.71 | 21.84 |
*Assume working days are normal at 5 a week, so a normal 5 day work week schedule.
Renders/day shows a declining trend, due to all sorts of
$$$$$ Milking reasons.
So let's assume EP 12 follows this trend:
4158 to 5037 = +21.14%
5037 to 5868 = +16.49%
5868 to 7113 = +21.22%
The average (sum/3):
19.6167%
So the potential number of new screens from 7133 (+19.62%) is 8508.335871, or ~8500.
(We're not taking into account other things like animations and coding, QA, testing, etc.; regardless, the total days are the same.)
Now we go back to the actual time episodes took
| # | Renders | Days |
| EP 4 | 2532 | 148 |
| EP 5 | 2456 | 141 |
| EP 6 | 3336 | 169 |
| EP 7 | 3723 | 162 |
| EP 8 | 4158 | 211 |
| EP 9 | 5037 | 287 |
| EP 10 | 5868 | 357 |
| EP 11 | 7113 | 456 |
*Interlude skipped because, yeah, even worse projections with those numbers.
Destroyer indeed.
Method 1: Trend of average renders per day
(minus work days, we'll just use straight numbers regardless of workdays minus weekends, as the trend is the same)
Renders/Day rate is:
EP 9: 17.55
EP 10: 16.44
EP 11: 15.60
For whatever
Milked reason, DPC is slowing down.
Estimated days using EP 11 rate:
Renders / (renders/day rate) = 8500 / 15.6 = 545 days.
Estimated days using EP10/11 delta = (16.44 - 15.60 = 0.84, thus, 15.60 - 0.84 = 14.76)
Renders / (renders/day rate) = 8500 / 14.76 = 576 days.
***
EP 11 released on March 7, 2025.
Thus if using EP11's trend, the release date is:
September 3rd, 2026
Thus if using EP11/10's delta trend, the release date is:
October 4th, 2026
Method 2: Linear trend (day count)
Looking at the increase in days:
EP 9 to 10 was 70 days (357-287 = 70)
EP 10 to 11 was 99 days (456-357 = 99)
99-77 = 22, or a 22 day increase. Thus, 22 + 99 = 121 days
So, EP 11 at 456 days + 121 days = 577 days
Thus if using linear trend of days, the release date is:
October 5th, 2026
***
Conclusion:
In software dev, we usually account for 10-20% overage (which is when things go boom and more time is needed):
576 times 0.10 = 57.6 days
576 + 57.6 = 633.6 days (634)
Thus:
December 1, 2026
576 times 0.20 = 115.2 days
576 + 115.2 = 691.2 days (691)
Thus:
January 26, 2027
So the range of probable release dates, assuming
8500 new screens (and all other work being equal and accounted for), we have a trend between:
September 3rd 2026
&
January 26th 2027
It's green because of the $$$$$