always86
Active Member
- Mar 19, 2020
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Given that neither of us are his accountant, or indeed the good Doctor himself, we’ll never actually known.Your math is sound, except for the starting point at least when it comes to finances. When you are given 2 estimates that create a low end and high end limit, and they happen to be 300% !!!! apart than they aren't estimates that can be used in any credible way and you default to the lowest amount that you know is for certain.
An example as to why: A developer has 1000 supporters and offers 1$/5$10$ tiers, the statistical tool calculates the probabilites how many of those 1000 are using the 1$/5$/10$ option and generates high/low estimates. The next day he adds a 50$ and a 100$ option, his income doesn't change by a cent, but the high estimate will completely ballon out of control as it shifts supporters from lower tier to higher tier options and by taking low+high/2 the resulting simple average will have so much uncertainty that it no longer has any merit.
I know you weren't complaining and I have no idea how much he has really made either, guessing at a gross income, without enough data is incredible difficult and that doesn't even adress that people usually ignore fee's or costs.
He most certainly made a huge pile of money, but no, it's neither fair nor safe that he made at least 2 Million. Fair and most of all safe would be :"Not accounting for his costs and given an average patreon count of x, he made at least x times lowest tier times 24 in the last 2 years."
That said I think it’s irrational to argue that his average contribution would be the same as his minimum sub similar to me arguing we use the largest sub. $58,500 is less than $5 a sub a month. That figure falls between his bottom two tiers. It’s not a ridiculous assumption especially since most of his reward tiers start above that.
And besides all that, even if his Patreon has somehow only netted him an average of $1 per sub, which is 100% not the case, he’d have made $300k in 2 years, plus the income from other 3 years, and that‘s not accounting for release months where people put their subs up to get the new release sooner. I for example have a $1 sub, and do a $25 sub in a release month. That meant I gave him $60 last year. That’s $5 a month.
Not to mention the $2.9m estimate on steam for BADIK and another $0.79m for Acting Lessons. And the GoG income.
Honestly I think $2m is almost certainly lowballing it. And again, I’m not begrudging him the income, he makes a game a lot of people love he deserves to make whatever money he can.