Maya's personality shown so far makes me doubt that she has clashed so hard with her father. her father imposed an ultimatum on her and she accepted it hoping for providence.
Indeed, I can't imagine Maya and her Dad having particularly fierce shouting matches or anything like that, more likely that he would have exerted his will on her and she would have become emotionally distraught, but she hasn't accepted his ultimatum.
In the first episode she mentions the ultimatum but the fact that she's trying to get in to the HOTs because of the promise of free tuition would suggest to me that she hasn't accepted it as it's likely that the conditions of the ultimatum are to give up her relationship with Josy and/or get over her "phase" of being interested in girls, and if she does this then she'll get her tuition money. So not having her tuition and wanting to join the HOTs would heavily suggest she hasn't accepted her Dad's ultimatum.
then we are in the non-sense, whereby Maya gives up the money for the college thinking of not seeing Josy anyway, which should be the reason why the father refused to pay her the tuition...
Well, as I said, if a condition of the ultimatum is also to stop being gay, then she can't agree to that because, at the time, that's what she believed she was. So her not accepting may not entirely be because of Josy since, as you say, she couldn't guarantee seeing her as she might not have got in to B&R.
but the point of my reasoning was not to talk about Maya and Josy yet, but to explain why I don't think their couple can last with and without MC.
if MC is just a friend I don't understand why he should bump into them to keep them together, it would be really uninteresting in a game where at that point he will obviously be interested in another LI, if he were interested in one of the two girls then it would make even less sense to stand there at be supportive of their lopsided relationship.
if MC is in a relationship with both of them, unless he makes wicked choices that lead the two girls to hate him, it still seems very likely to me that it is one of the two girls to leave the relationship. I don't know if the plot will take this into account but I would like to remind you that MC can be in relationship with both even having had a clear preference towards only one of the girls in choices and actions
The MC can be made to have a clear preference if he's gained a lot of RP with one but not the other, you're right, and there are moments like staying with Josy and staying with Maya for their respective sex scenes where, again, he could choose one but not the other. Maybe that will have an effect on the throuple relationship, but it could also be more to do with the decision mechanic we saw in Ep 5 where you had to choose between going to Maya or going with Josy, and if we get more choices like that and you choose one girl more than the other, then that might be what has an effect.
In a way, it would be somewhat reflective of real world realtionships because by spending more time with one of them then he's showing more interest in them and in their relationship, whilst essentially ignoring the other one makes his feelings for them not seem the same since they don't spend a lot of time together. Therefore, if he spends an equal amount of time with each, let's say there will be 6 of these choices throughout the game, and the player chooses Josy 3 times and Maya 3 times, then perhaps this will be the path to an endgame relationship with both of them since he split his time equally between them.
I just wouldnt say that it's hopeless or even a sure thing that their relationship will break up no matter what path you're on, yes because that's my preferred path and I wouldn't want it to be hopeless so perhaps I'm a little biased, but also because the game is at least presenting the possibility that it can happen and not that it can't.
we know that Maya's father is against her story with Josy and therefore refused to pay her tuition.
we know that her father used harsh words towards Maya (that she was worthless).
therefore it is the father who certainly attacked Maya, what Maya did to defend her relationship we do not know.
the plan to go to college with a dubious free tuition is desperate, then if it's to live with a girl you think dumped you it's crazy
Of course it's "crazy", a) because it's a story made for dramatic purposes, but also b) she's a teenager and rational thought is something generally gained with age whilst emotional thought is generally what rules teenage life.