It's far too early to predict if there will be an update on 12/1 or not. It's reasonable to expect only two udpates between 10/1/24 and 1/1/25, but there hasn't been any real consistency on when they fall. A 12/1 release is entirely possible, especially if there isn't a release on 11/1 or 11/15.
Exact spacing, like the 1.5 and 2.5 month long gaps between the end of year updates this time around, depends entirely on his schedule. This year he had two offshore vacations, and timed his self-indulgent awards nonsense all in the same stretch. There's nothing about the end of a chapter that needs more time than a normal update, outside of the complexity of the reset puzzle (which would ultimately only impact one of those updates). He didn't need extra months for .36 because of the update itself, he needed the extra time because other shit was going on.
THe only time we had a chapter start in spring so far is when the game had to be reworked twice over six months, resulting in an absurd delay. I doubt we'll see that again.
Well, no.
1) There is release schedule (
) for 2024. Update in December would only mean that Selebus is already behind the schedule
2) Selebus already planned two vacations in 2024 (which is sad, because he now have no gaps in his own schedule and will probably break it, but it does not matter rn)
3) What exactly extra shit he did instead of 0.36? What delayed 0.35? One-month vacation consumed one month. Week of baseball? Awards he set up in summer was operated by community.
Basicaly he had three extra weeks for 0.35 + 0.36 and it was not enough to properly start a new chapter (And 0.36 is only 50k words)
4) FYI, he ended chapter 2 in spring and started chapter 3 in fall. Also, he ended chapter 2 not with a christmass update.
5) "He started two chapters of four at christmass so he would start fith at christmass" is not an argument. It is bullshit. I can say exactly the same, but with words "Selebus never had a year-length chapter so he would not"
Can Selebus end chapter in update he planned for November, but Delayed to the mid-december? Obviously he can. But it would be something new and unpredictable. Can he do it in January or February update? More probable, but I'd bet for Spring