This is a excellent point!
As stated in the orginal post the assumption "Animation durations are evenly distributed by DPC throughout" was taken.
However, it's better for me to adjust the calculations to adhear to the remaining 85 animations being lewd.
Kaiser-ST also noted that of the 265 animations DPC described in the most upto date animation report, 28 were posed animation but NOT rendered. These animations will also require additional rendering time.
So instead of just doing the calculation of how long it might take DPC to develop 85 animations based on the average 00:05 animation duration, the better calculation is:
85 Lewd Animations -> For this I will be using the Episode 9 average lewd animation duration of 00:04.
28 Mixed Lewd and Non Lewd Animations -> For this I will be using the Episode 9 average animation duration of 00:05.
| Episode 10 Animation estimation | |
|---|
| Animation frames during vacation | 4353 |
| Vacation Frames per day | 310.93 |
| Vacation Animations Per day | 2.07 |
| Last Reported Animations | 26/08/2023 |
| Animations Rendered | 237 |
| Animations Rendered Duration | 0:19:58 |
| Animations Posed | 28 |
| Animation Target | 350 |
| Animations to be completed | 85 |
| Animation Duration remaining | 0:08:34 |
| To be Posed and Rendered | 0:06:13 |
| To be Rendered | 0:02:21 |
| A/S per day (Vacation) | 0:00:10 |
| A/S per day (Episode 10 Average) | 0:00:05 |
| |
| Days shared static and animations | 14 |
| |
| 14 Days of Average Episode 10 A/S per day | 0:01:06 |
| Animation duration remaining after 14 Days | 0:07:28 |
| Days to complete remaining animation using A/S per day (Vacation) | 42.79 Days |
| |
| Estimated finishing time | 21/10/2023 |
*A/S = Animation seconds
Drilling down past this point won't provide more accurate estimation. But during my caclulations I didn't take into account the remaining animation type. So thank you for pointing that out!
Bonus Stat
Take this with a grain of salt! It is just speculation with the numbers available. There is no real way of knowing if you're not DPC
I wanted to take the oppurtunity to compare what full focus on animations were between episode 9 and episode 10.
For episode 10 we know that within a two week period DPC was able to produce 4353 frames. As we will never know the exact rate in which DPC developed animation for episode 9, I attempted to find the largest period for episode 9 where we know DPC only developed animations.
Between the
5th of November 2022 and the
25th of November 2022 DPC reported animations numbers without developing static renders. So we have a three week period of Animations without split resources. Three weeks also provides a large-ish sample group so we can assume the average duration is close to the overall episode 9 average.
From this we know DPC produced 27 animations in a three week period. This results in DPC producing 00:08 seconds of animation per day or 240 frames.
We know Episode 10 during his vacation produced 10.36 seconds of animation per day or 311 frames. A 23% Increase in efficiency!