- Feb 7, 2019
- 517
- 762
To challenge a statement you made by demonstrating it is more likely to occur in one game week than not.
For anything further, please consult your nearest mathematician about probability theory.
It doesn't challenge it at all. It doesn't challenge anything.
Or, y'know, you could have just answered plainly the first time round, instead of pointlessly throwing out formulae that don't answer any questions asked of you.
- Feb 7, 2019
- 517
- 762
Except the 'pointlessly thrown around formula' not only showed you how I reached the number previously given, but also that simply dividing that number by 7 to reach base chance was wrong since that's not how probability works.
Have a hopefully good day, enough spam from me in this thread
- Mar 8, 2019
- 1,197
- 3,671
I'm surprised it took you so long before giving up.Except the 'pointlessly thrown around formula' not only showed you how I reached the number previously given, but also that simply dividing that number by 7 to reach base chance was wrong since that's not how probability works.
Have a hopefully good day, enough spam from me in this thread
Was still pointless as it really had no relevance to anything that was being discussed, or asked of you.
You wasted your own time there.
- Jan 15, 2018
- 148
- 77
- Feb 2, 2018
- 3,499
- 2,035
probability doesnt stack, every roll has an individual chance to land on the required numbers. however i didnt read the actual code, it may or may not multiplicate with number of tries.
Tell that to the guy who kept bringing up the statistical chance per week, as though it was something to be relied on beyond wishful thinking.
- Feb 7, 2019
- 517
- 762
Never said it stacked, his words. Answer was given treating it as a binomial probability.
Last edited:
- Mar 8, 2019
- 1,197
- 3,671
The probability he and I have described is in stats, based on the variable likelihood of similar outcomes with the same odds.
It's effectively the same as arguing flipping a coin has a 50/50 chance of being heads or tails.
But the odds of two heads or two tails is 25%. The odds of it being the same 3 times is 12.5%.
What he and I were doing is the same, but using the odds of 13%.
- Aug 6, 2016
- 7,793
- 44,836
I have a suggestion. You guys can start a conversation between yourselves to discuss the finer points of statistical mathematics. And whether or not it stacks in the game. Let's get back to less statistical stuff for now since it appears that some of you are getting a little bothered by this convo.
- May 26, 2017
- 1,448
- 359
- Nov 10, 2017
- 1,258
- 6,976
- Apr 22, 2019
- 2,175
- 1,906
Initiate a full sex scene (not a quickie -- the one that costs time). There should be a third circle in addition to Generous and Selfish named Fetish. IIRC, it is in there.