23.04.2023
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View attachment 2565686
124 / ~ 196 (formerly 205 scenes) completed (63.27%) [ + 1 scene (but also -9 scenes planned = - 4.4%]
21 scenes currently in production (-1 from last time)
~ 51 scenes left without being worked on yet (-9)
Analysis: Slow progress this week, but some shifting variables. No real explanation as to why the developer scratched 5 entire scenes from planning/in production (8th line, left column) from last time. It's possible they moved the "in production" scenes that were in that column over to another route because it fit better. Either way, it seems (based on the table) that these scenes got either shifted or merged into another route and there are no further scenes planned for that particular route (titled "EVNTR2"). They also seem to be generally planning 9 scenes less (possible I miscounted, its hard to spot the difference in such a complicated sheet sometimes and I aint always in the mood to find Waldo). So that takes away SOME progress as well if you remove planned scenes (naturally).
Let's calculate the progression. 0.48% (3.27%) in 1 week (or 1 scene) amounts to ~1.9% (or 4 scenes) per month (13.08% leap if we count out the scratched scenes and rate that as progress), which - in light of having around 36.73 % (or 72 scenes) left to do - would, assuming the aforementioned progress of 1.9% per month, lead us to a development time of 19.33
months, or 1
year, 7 months and 1 week development time (it's getting better.... slowly).
I will refrain from adding the 30 weeks where the dev was on sick leave for an extended period where little progress was made and averaging it out, I did that last time already.
Projected release last time was the early 2023 months, probably around March. But if we go by the current formula we are looking at January 2025 (heey, it's already projected 1 year and 4 months less than last time
)
As I said last time, here is hoping the dev gets back to a
pace that is more along the lines of what they had before the accident (while maintaining their phsyical and mental health ofc). That would be around 1.5% per week (currently it's roughly that per month, so they'd have to get around 4x faster than this week, and that regularily), or 1% a week, meaning roughy
4-5% a month. Even with this increase to speeds never seen before (or rather "return to form") we'd still be looking at 10 months of development. Yikes